Director of Commercial Forecasting, Obesity

About the role

The Forecasting team at Amgen supports Commercial leadership with strategic guidance and data-backed insights. The Director of Forecasting leads the forecasting efforts for the Obesity business unit, overseeing full-time Amgen employees and influencing stakeholders across Commercial, R&D, Medical, Finance, Manufacturing, Access and Pricing/Contracting. The role reports to the Executive Director of Global Obesity and is a flexible commuter position to the Thousand Oaks, CA office, with a minimum of 2-3 days per week on site.

Key responsibilities

• Serve as primary contact for senior Therapeutic Area leaders, developing data-driven short- and long-term forecasts for Obesity brand portfolios
• Prepare and present portfolio-level forecast updates to senior leadership and build consensus on forecast assumptions, including inline indications and new near-term launches
• Help leadership identify risks and opportunities and prioritize actionable strategies to improve commercial potential
• Analyze competitors and market dynamics to inform forecasting models and strategic decisions
• Integrate insights across products, functions and capabilities to form an objective view of portfolio strategy
• Quantify uncertainty using scenario planning and advanced simulation models such as Monte Carlo analysis and statistical trending
• Use pharmaceutical data sources (e.g., LAAD, National Audit Rx, Xponent, epidemiology data) to refine forecasting approaches
• Create clear, transparent presentations of forecast variables and collaborate with the wider CD&A organization to improve forecast accuracy
• Streamline forecasting processes to drive productivity and efficiency

Required profile

• Basic qualification: doctorate with 4 years of forecasting experience in biopharma/biotechnology/pharmaceutical, or master's with 7 years, or bachelor's with 9 years of experience in the same fields
• Preferred: leadership experience building teams, ability to influence EVP/SVP/VP level staff, partnership with business leaders to guide strategic decisions, and strong oral, written and presentation skills

Required skills

• Forecasting and scenario planning (Monte Carlo analysis)
• Understanding of pharmaceutical data sources and forecasting methodologies

What we offer

• Health, dental and vision coverage, life and disability insurance, and a retirement savings plan with company contributions
• Discretionary annual bonus or sales-based incentive plan, stock-based long-term incentives
• Award-winning time-off plans and flexible work models where possible